|
CONTRARIANTHINKER |
||||||
|
TA History Vol 2 30 April 2006 CT is under a refurbishment process. Some older links and images may not appear. Bear with us. What
a day on 5 live.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BBC_Radio_Five_Live
The
5 got 100 years between
them = 5 score
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/6417353.stm 29 April 2006 I have been away on extended leave from CT. I have continued to post regularly on the forums immediately to the right of this message. I doubt I will be doing much over the next month either as I have a project to finish. New 911 research Thanks to 'Fred' on the nineeleven.co.uk board for this picture of New York...
...which was taken to match the camera angle of this CNN shot from 911
The contention was - because the buildings are dislocated in elevation, and since the camera was right on the shore in the first picture, the CNN photo was faked. Well, that would be a searing indictment of CNN if true. But was it? No. The camera was at higher altitude. We can get an idea of how much higher by observing the tree line represented by the green line in the first picture.
As the CNN camera pans up and marginally to the right (compared to the first pic), both the foreground, and buildings in the distance move relative to the main buildings common to both pics (outlined in black). The treeline obviously falls wrt the first pic. Looks like by about 5 meters. For this you would need a hydraulic boom. Buildings more distant than those in the foreground would rise relative to their position in the first picture, and this is exactly what happens. To get the EXACT locations of the CNN camera, a new picture should be taken at the correct elevation - ie at tree-top level (there may be additional growth, but mature trees tend not to get taller). This means CNN must have had a camera on a gantry during 911. Logistically, could that camera have been scrambled to be in place after the attack started in time to film the image shown? Because if not, this proves prior knowledge on the part of CNN, and by extension the entire main stream media. Other people knew 911 was going to happen - the 5 dancing Israelis, Odigo. Zim shipping cleared out of WTC the week before. No Israeli workers died in the building. Condi Rice was warning people not to fly. Somebody had to have wired WTC7. Etc etc. CNN http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/americas/2709453.stm http://www.forbes.com/2001/12/05/1205aoltw.html I hope to post a higher-resolution version of this work tomorrow dB 7th Feb 2006 Note - the fission/fusion debate may be a distraction. The radiation levels @ WTC may have been hidden. The real issue is MICROWAVES
3rd Dec 2006 Maybe we hold off for a month or three but
2nd Dec 2006 MEGA CRASH ALERT It's lookin' bad....
... from the FBI http://foia.fbi.gov/new_zionist_org/...org_part01.pdf
Last Monday in December
No Thanksgiving Day Iraqgate : Worst day for on civilians today. I wonder who did it? Weekend Is anybody falling for the AlQaeda double agent story? You know, the one who has written a book & pretends that 'Hook' is not a cartoon psyop but a real militant, and that AlQaeda lured Tony & George into the Iraq quagmire with a false flag confession? US and Israel may be using small thermonuclear devices. These are primarily radiation weapons, though at the core they produce intense heat. The use of these weapons (maybe as bunker-busters) could result in massive malignancies in foetuses and certain types of cancer in adults, notably leukaemia. Does anyone have a cancer profile for Iraq/Afghanistan? The cover story for these would be DU. We are being told DU dust is ultratoxic and is responsible for the malignancies in the areas we are 'liberating'. Yet Israel is in the area. Do you think Israel would shit in its own backyard? Read these posts and try to figure out if they are disinfo or based on a horrible truth. Japanese researcher detects hydrogen bomb Are Mossad shooting Anericans? 15th Nov 2006 Following my departure from I have resurfaced Remembrance Weekend
How easy it is to run an agenda when the MSM are in yr pocket. 10th November 2006 That was a timely article on Wednesday. Makes up for the SM not rolling over earlier... More on one of the lottery tickets mentioned in 3of3 ... 8th November 2006 Diebold fail to flip enough votes. Rumsfeld resigns. Is the world a safer place? 7th November 2006 AAPL managed to hang on the tree a bit l8er than xpected this fall.... Could the MM have had anything 2 do with it???? 17th October 2006 Updated 12th October 2006 10th October 2006 FWIW one of my key SM top indicators is getting ripe. If have time I will post the chart when/if it hits its target. Meanwhile PM wave C down may or may not be over... worth a wide put option IMO given the risk/reward ratio.... 2nd October 2006 I have some very significant charts queueing up for posting. In a bit... AAPL breaks uptrend. Rodin breaks house rules @ Gold Eagle Forum <g>... I should have added that, unlike GM, the CIA Afghan Heroin biz does not have an un-funded pension liability. IMO the engineered global crash is very imminent. On a geological timescale @ least.... 1 October 2006 29/9/2006 DOW Double top?
28/9/2006 21/9/2006 Many believe 911 could NOT be an Inside Job because 'too many people' would have known about it and the real story would have got out.1 Belief is the Enemy of Truth. Did the Holocaust2, the precursor to the formation of Israel, really happen? If the answer is yes, then how come it was kept a secret for so long? Given the infrastructure and number of people that must have been used to carry out mass extermination on such a gargantuan scale? If the answer is no, then how come we have all been led to believe otherwise for so long? Either way we have already and irrefutibly witnessed deception on a global scale. It has already happened. Still think 911 and 7/7 were carried out by Muslim 'fanatics'? Please be open-minded enough to view these videos. Read what Postman Patel has to say about Ludicrous Diversions. 1 Of course the truth is out - but only on the internet, along with disinformation from the other side. You must learn to discern. Forget all of the mainstream media for other than entertainment - they are controlled. At least on the net you have a fighting chance of finding out what really happened. 2 How on earth have we allowed 'Holocaust Denial' to become a Crime? What next? '911 Denial'?. Anti-Deception Links That's enough for today! 21/9/2006 A little knowledge is a dangerous thing... Since my 2/9/2006 post (link suspended) I have continued research into why the continents absent the younger oceans seem to form a perfect sphere of smaller diameter while dinosaurs, which lived 65-230m years ago appear to be built for lower gravity. The idea that mass could have migrated from the molten core to the solid shell thereby hollowing out the planet is attractive - it would explain the hollow planet seismographic evidence, and could perhaps also explain why surface gravity would increase, even as the planet expands. However, this hypothesis violates Newton's 'Shell Theorem' of gravity inside a body. Since on investigation the Shell Theorem looks secure, (I have tried to pick it apart), another explanation must be sought. There is one. But before blabbing on about it I will spend more time researching what evidence exists for variable Earth diameters over the ages. 2/9/2006 The link below is to a major original work that is being updated regularly via 'addenda'. A small group of confidantes have been privy to the page this week. If the hypothesis stands up, it will revolutionise how mainstream science regards planetary evolution. It would not surprise me if what I am about to reveal is already secret knowledge among certain of our 'handlers', so obvious does it seem in retrospect. This is not weird science. Just applied common sense prevailing over perceived wisdom, and fitting a hypothesis to facts with no fudge factors, no cosmological constants, no extra dimensions, no strings (whatever they are), nothing that one of my heroes, the late, great Fred Dibnah wouldn't understand. I dunno... this could be a really important & original contribution to science, or a red herring. You decide....
...brought to you by one who knows that the true history of Earth in the last few centuries is labeled a 'conspiracy theory', while lies and distortions are parroted as truth by the established godfathers thru their puppet media. People of the world - if you want to avoid being enslaved financially, spiritually, emotionally, chemically, physically, you are going to have to rise up together. You have been set up to fight and hate each other by a sinister and devious cabal. The enemy is within - governments, secret societies, self-serving controlling interests - and ultimately yourselves if you do nothing about it. The solution to world governance lies not in cozy cartels of people 'in the know' but by opening the control and guidance of our planet directly to its concerned population via the internet. We the people, given freedom, can sort this mess out. Otherwise it's gonna have to wait until post-Armageddon, or whatever you want to call the coming planned cull of the useless eaters and dangerously independent thinkers. Have you already sold your soul, or is it only mortgaged? Buy it back now by doing the right thing. Get active! Become a part of the solution. The whole world needs to take to the streets together. Unfortunately, it is probably not going to happen. The vast majority will keep their heads down until it is too late. The Mob are counting on our collective apathy, a trait they have been at pains to foster in us. It is so frustrating to see the writing so clearly on the wall and be unable to prevent the onslaught. Still, one must fight on the side of right. To know and ignore is a sin of omission. 30/8/2006 Thought for the day Just who is behind the horrific bombing of civilians in Moslem countries do you think? Israel's parting gift to Lebanon "...Ninety per cent of the cluster bomb strikes occurred in the last 72 hours of the conflict, when we knew there would be a resolution," ... "shocking new information".... "They will be with us for many months, possibly years. Every day, people are maimed, wounded and killed by these weapons. It shouldn't have happened...." 'Kurdish Separatists' Attack Tourists in Turkey Kurds and most Jews are closely related '....although in the 11th century they comprised only 3% of the world's Jewish population, Ashkenazi Jews accounted for (at their highest) 92% of the world's Jews in 1931 and today make up approximately 80% of Jews worldwide.....' The Kurds are an ethnic group indigenous to a region often referred to as Kurdistan, an area which includes adjacent parts of Iran, Iraq, Syria, and Turkey..... '....In 2001, a team of Israeli, German, and Indian scientists discovered that among the various Jewish communities, the Ashkenazi Jews showed a closer relationship to the Muslim Kurds than to the Semitic-speaking population further south in the Arabian peninsula, while the Jewish Kurds and Sephardic Jews seemed to be closely related to each other....' 29/8/2006 28/8/2006 Great and depressing reporting on terminator seeds and the connected tissue of mostly Arkansas-connected individuals and companies like the Clintons, Bush, Carter, BCCI, Wal-Mart and the Little Rock cabal. Even Vince Foster gets a name-check. All the more pressing considering that Hilary looks like a shoe-in in 2008. I would add that the crowning glory for these goons will be when they have somehow removed good old fashioned regenerating seeds from the planet. 27/8/2006
25/8/2006
Re: 'Artificial Insemination'... the prick was Bigcharts.
23/8/2006 This has Nothing to do with David Icke!... 22/8/2006 Very un-natural FTSE pattern emerges... I see ELEVEN suspects have been charged. Let's see what Jones and Rivero make of this, given that the liquid bombs were about as credible as the dreaded ricin threat to poison London... 21/8/2006
19/8/2006 The Frame-ups are getting more and more obvious... 'Investigators found pieces of paper with Arabic letters and telephone numbers from Lebanon in clothes which were in the suitcases to pad the gas bottles, he said. They also found starch bags from Lebanon which were sold in a store in or around Essen, a city in North-Rhine Westphalia.' And still the mainstream media support the lies! Thanks to Mike Rivero for giving a plug yesterday for... http://www.starstika.com/beats/911-was-an-inside-job ...we got a lot of hits from it. Up late tonight mixing much less controversial fat club tracks for our 'International Anthems' album. Out on 911. 18/8/2006 14/8/2006 13/8/2006 What would gravity feel like right at the centre of the Earth? I first thought my 6 year old had answered my question correctly - it would be zero. An equal pull would be exerted from all directions. This equal pull, it seemed to me, would tend to drag mass away from the exact centre. Not so. Gravity would simply be drawing the Earth to the observer at the centre of the Earth. Nevertheless I felt I was on the track of a perfectly reasonable mechanism for the natural and progressive hollowing out of a planet or moon (and perhaps a sun too - maybe red giants and supernovae are worth a second look). My model suggested that planets and moons would grow until they mature as hard shells. (The moon appears to be older than the Earth, but perhaps it is simply more mature.) Here are two fascinating links. Taken together their conclusions support a simple growing hollow earth model. The moon is hollow as has been shown by seismic measurements. 12/8/2006 Back from a week in my native Scotland. My 5/8/2006 piece airing another side of the 911 conspiracy argument was written somewhat in haste. I hope I did not give the impression I was doubting the fact that 911 was an inside job. Also, by 'inside job' I do not mean exclusively 'made in America'. Liquid Terror While I was away I see our security forces have 'successfully' thwarted an alleged terrorist plot and spoiled the holidays of millions of Britons this week. (Luckily I was relying on road transport). We are told that murder would have been on an unimaginable/unprecedented scale, meted out by Islamic fascists who want to destroy our freedoms etc. etc. I am afraid the co-ordinated use of hysterical language suggests a Psy-Op to this observer and others. Molten Steel Also while I was away this very carefully crafted 'paper' was published on the Implosion World website. Make of it what you will. I note that claims of melted steel in the basement are denied, a divergence from debunking911's molten steel 'explained'. Bad Vibes It also refutes the idea that seismographic evidence showed explosions, as agreed by this pro-conspiracy website's analysis of seismic records. However, there is here presented audio evidence time-locked to a somewhat speculative video of WTC911. This suggests that significant seismic events took place about 10 seconds BEFORE a collapse. The evidence takes the form of tripod mounted camera shake well before the collapse and in the form of the audio soundtrack. However, this is discounted here. There must be a raft of independent footage showing the collapse of WTC with audio tracks still intact, therefore the issue of fakery can be easily be tested here. I will continue to look for alternative audio/video footage with intact soundtrack. As it happens I know of someone who shot footage no-one else has seen. I will try to track him down. Ya never know.... Sci Fi The perpetrators of 911 are getting concerned that science is being used to show the towers were not brought down by airliners, and are throwing all their weight into discrediting the science being used, while offering (they hope) plausible alternatives. Each new piece of evidence presented and every new hypothesis proposed must be examined by the other side and tested to destruction. Let us get on with this process as quickly as possible, before the battle for freedom is lost. This link shows clearly that the central column of WTC 1 was falling faster than the perimeter. I myself have calculated to within 2% ESD from examining public domain video footage that the central core of WTC1 accelerated downwards at 120% the speed of the roof, inconsistent with the official 'pancake' theory. There is also the evidence of seismic vibrations being felt on the Brooklyn Bridge '... at mid-point in the bridge, we felt a rumble like faraway thunder and turned. The impossible was happening. The south tower of the World Trade Center shook, and in what resembled an elemental act, fell to earth in a mighty shout.' They heard the noise then turned around to see the tower shake, then fall. Somebody tell me - how far was the Brooklyn Bridge from the towers? It must have taken some time for the sound or shock wave to cover the distance. Remember you see lightning before you hear thunder. This time the felt vibrations preceded the visual collapse. I would say this supports the aforementioned audio analysis suggesting the buildings fell perhaps 10 seconds after the ground shake. NWOrigins I have only just come upon this website... http://www.takeourworldback.com ...my own studies have reluctantly been heading in this disturbing direction of late. Not so funny money With UK interest rates rising I have more to say regarding the idea that pretending to fight inflation (dearer things) with interest rate rises (dearer money) is illogical. He gets it! I have also made some observations of interesting patterns in the major indices. But first I must make headway with our contribution to the 5th anniversary of 911, the future global hit known as Inside Job. Would you like to join us? visit www.starstika.com to find out how. You should already know why... C Ya L8R 5/8/2006 This is by far the most convincing anti-demolition website I have encountered - and I have only just discovered it. As a chemist there is much here I agree with. Iron does burn. Burning iron does 'suck in' air as it consumes oxygen to form rust. Therefore there is an apparently plausible explanation for the molten metal in the basement. Iron filings burn because there is air between grains allowing the fire to gain a seat (think of trying to burn a stick vs lighting a bonfire). I can imagine a similar deal between trying to burn a single iron beam (ludicrous under normal conditions and so intuitively 'impossible') and a collapsed multitude of them. Did we have an iron 'bonfire'? The Anti-911 site challenges in depth the thermate demolition claims made quite recently by Professor Steven Jones, whose published papers have re-ignited the 911 debate (pun intended). I believe it is essential for Prof. Jones to answer the points raised one by one. Not to do so discredits the 911 'truth' movement. Perhaps that was the intention all along. It's a dirty business.. I would very much like the people/person behind debunking911 to answer the following straight questions in similarly convincing manner. 1) Why do our governments still tout the 19 hijackers fairytale when half turned up alive after the event? 2) How can a hijacker's passport have found its way intact to the street below? 3) How did George Bush see the first plane hit the tower in real time? dB 5/8/2006 18/7 2006
7/7 2006 International Anthem by Starstika released on Dissential May 2006 Dangerous Music It's been a while since I last posted. I have been very busy keeping two new album releases for 2006 on schedule. These are by the artists STARSTIKA (7/7) and GREYMAN (9/11) on www.dissential.com I urge you to visit the site and sample thei music. Those of you with a contrarian bent will approve of the message at least! <g> PM Update The bull run in PMs (especially the metals) has surpassed my near-term expectations, though long-term I am in the Ted Butler 3-4 figure silver camp. If we are entering the debt-and-fraud stricken FIAT endgame, eventually NO amount of dollars will buy an ounce of silver. Or gold. Or fresh water. Most of my junior mining companies with a couple of exceptions are looking strong. Anyone with a basket of PM shares is looking at handsome profits. But perhaps even more telling, is how the metal is actually out-performing so many miners. Gone (apparently) are the days of automatic high leverage the miners had over the metal. Of course, there are still 10 baggers out there in this recent run, no doubt there will be more. SM Update 13-03-06 CRASH ALERT FTSE @ 5939 NOW! My charts say that we are topping big-time in the SM, printing press or no printing press. Watch for a break of 5936... My FTSE100 upside target was 5950. We made 5946. Note that 5950 was calibrated with +- 10 error for 1st Feb. The resistance line is falling more-or-less from the 1999/2000 high. NWO ALERT TPTB are being evil and devious. More L8R from www.dissential.com Get your ASS down to this SITE
and find out where you can HEAR and BUY fantastic MUSIC from our anti-NWO stable.. Sticking it to the New World Odour 20-01-06 Bit of a melt-down in the PMs and the Techs today. Goog & Aapl both collapsing from domed tops. Both closed on lows, but on strong support. A break lower here could mean gaps down. Would not rule out a trip to the ma area for Gold. This week we temporarily peeked above the top rail of Monday's ominous chart (posted Tues am) and closed the week back in the channel. This is a Wyck. The bottom of the channel now looms IMO. 460 looks a likely target. Hmmm.. seem to have lost the 'Window on the World' icon. If I can spare the time I will reinstall it. Chart posts may be sporadic but I will try to anticipate any dramas (as we had this week). 17-01-06
14-12-05 13-12-05 12-12-05 Dissential will be advertising on What Really Happened very soon. I think you will dig our banners... Silver has swing 50 cents today. Glad mine is safely in a vault. Meanwhile... ...has a new chart installed, and it is most unusual in its symmetry... 27-11-05 I am knackered from studio work! Will post charts 2moro - mebbe.... OK. So the FTSE has made yet another new high. If the chart-fixers are going to continue to play by EW rules, then the recent 5-wave decline should be the end of wave 4 of c - an irregular abc pattern of smaller degree than C (of the ABC up since 2002). If so the FTSE tops out under 5750. You have been fore-warned! Before then a trip to the gap @ about 5200 would not surprise. Oh yeah. The Precious metals. Well it looks like a breakout, BUT, the metals are outpacing the shares. Still, something similar happened in the run-up to 1980. It is just possible I suppose that the HnS in HUI:Gold could fulfill, but @ a much higher gold price. More to the point, are you gonna shell out for Dissential's musical output? Ya won't B disappointed... Now as it happens there is plenty of anecdotal evidence that Al Jazeera is in fact an MI6 asset. The staff are pretty much all ex-BBC World Service. <g> So what does this tell us about Bush? HE IS NOT IN ON THE PLOT! Not @ the top table anyway... The eternally affable but ultimately insider Have I Got News 4 U presenta Boris Johnson 'bravely' asserted last week that he would publish the memo in defiance of a threat of prison from the Bliar brigade. He had, IMO 'permission'. 14-11-05 Stories you may have missed... Jackie Chan is calling an end to the 2 year PM consolidation, and he may be right. Certainly stocks like TRE and MGN (US) are looking lively. And look at the progress of POG (UK). Many smaller stocks are still vastly lower than their millennial highs. This may be because they have been forgotten, are illiquid, or have got themselves into trouble by hedging. Picking the right ones now, however, could set you up for a lifetime - IF the bull really is about to get going again. The biggest worry I have, I guess, is that by and large stocks are still under-performing the metal, and there is still a huge head and shoulders formation hanging over the chart of $HUI:$Gold. I note that the consensus for the SM has also swung to bullish. Hmmm... The people at Elliot Wave seem to have been surprised by this latest recovery in the Stock Markets. I am not. I posted that after the clear 5 waves down in the FTSE we were bound to get a retracement. And so it has proved to be. I think that retracement is almost complete, if not over already. (Wave 2 can retrace 99% of Wave 1)
..there is another possibility, which is that the 5-wave fall above was the C of an irregular ABC correction. If so I would expect the gap to be closed with MACD showing a huge oversold condition. If MACD is moderate when the gap is closed (which will co-incide with another test of the floor of the 3-year wedge) I would expect another bounce inside the wedge before 3 of 3 kicks in. 05-11-05 03-11-05 Wave 2 in the FTSE nearing completion. SM charts look amazing. Wanna see them? Come back L8R. There was an exercise on 7/7 that exactly envisioned the scenario that unfolded, involving 1000 people. This is documented fact. Now we hear... Security services were tracking the London 'Bombers' ...Just as Bliar is temporarily stalled in his attempt to bring in further Bush-esque Draconian anti-terror laws. Meanwhile elsewhere perps get together... 26-10-05 Wave 2 in the FTSE to continue?
24-10-5 PM comments to follow. 21-10-5 Back after a 'refreshing' break <g> The charts below look, and are dramatic. But the drama may not be resolved with sudden downside. Last night Google traded a gargantuan 6+m shares afterhours, and the final price quoted @ www.Bigcharts.com was a whopping 335 and change. This will kill a lot of margined shorts if the price holds @ the open. I am currently charting Google based on this opening price. More L8R. Maybe. 5-10-5
3-10-5 New chart inside... ...t'merr could B interestin'... 30-9-5 28-9-5 Yesterday's ST predictions were about as much use as a chocolate fireguard. However momentous moves may be afoot. Still working on it but could be a heads up any day now (possibly today even).
27-9-5
23-9-5 My food of love, music, has been occupying virtually every free waking minute this week. 19-9-5 Gold @ $470 this morning.
18-9-5 17-9-5 The FTSE took out its triple top yesterday as Gold rushed. More L8R. Meanwhile... 15-9-5 Vertigo
13-9-5
12-9-5
Weekend Musings 6-9-5 My studies indicate that the FTSE may be topping today. Possible support from channel floor, COT position 'bullish', but...
This could be interpreted as a bull flag. However...
4-9-5 Check it out... ...if the above is faked think how much easier it would be to fake the first clip. 2-9-5
1-9-5 31-8-5
30-8-5 Sure, George, anything you want... Where is Agatha Christie when U need her? False Flag -Luton_to_Kings_Cross 20-8-5 10-8-5 UK Mainstream Media Break Cover on False Flag ...I wonder when similar scrutiny will be applied to 7/7? 9-8-5 Silver has tested the green breakout & red triangle support @ 6.90-ish (we will have to wait 'til tomorrow to see Stockcharts take on this) (see 8/8) Now we have the chance of some upside.
8-8-5 HUI - Swinging 60's - Pyramid Selling Equal timeframes I & II Just an idea...
4-8-5 SSRI up 75 cents yesterday in concert with a PM share up-move of 5% across the board. So what is silver waiting for?
3-8-5 Music today so no time 4 charts this am. However I note that FTSE100 and CNE both have closed just above their respective breakout levels (Wedge resistance & iHnS neckline respectively). Nothing to shout about yet - the technicals looks weak esp in the FTSE so this could be a false micro-breakout - but a run for the 61.8% Fibo retrace level can't be ruled out. If the FTSE closes lower today that could be well bearish. Haveta leave the rest 'til I get back. Good luck. dB 2-8-5 A fantastic friend sent me this A lovely day in the shire. Sun shining, fluffy clouds fluffing, little Grebes diving... and the FTSE keeps making new post-2000 highs. But check out where it is... ...Also updated with more CNE & AVM. Note although I expect AVM to stage a modest rally here, longer term there is a question mark over all PMs. More charts will be uploaded L8R in the week. 30-7-5 29-7-5 28-7-5 Soon as I posted the chart below the Fed's bullish (add a 't' and move the 'i' IMO) Beige Book report goosed the markets higher. Break out or fake out? We will see. ...note lack of volume spike, MACD -ve divergence. 27-7-5 Cairn Energy
Strong horizontal support @ $6.95.
26-7-5 This page will be updated L8R 25-7-5
Google is back under the crucial 305 Fibonacci level. The FTSE is testing the upside of its rising wedge. And in the UK, following the incredible tale of the terror 'exercise' that went 'real' and the desperate attempts being made to cover tracks and muddy the water it is obvious that the gloves are off in over-taxed, over-watched Britain... I am afraid charts are taking somewhat of a back seat given the moment of recent events. Some will appear here L8R today. 21-7-5 Yesterday Google opened lower again so I dropped my stops again. A rally later in the day took them out. So definitely no cigar. Took profits on this week's silver trade today. Looks like we might simply be testing the broken triangle resistance. If we close inside a case for going long again may be made. This week however the main thrust is with the music. Sample RiotAkt @ (new file uploaded) False Flag comin' at ya shortly. 20-7-5 Watching paint dry Yesterday Google sorely tried my patience. Previously I had stated that the $305 level was the upper Fibonacci resistance beyond which I did not expect a close as Google tops out before a plunge that will visit $76 and change. Yesterday broke that level on the close as Google made a double top. Was my Fibonacci model, with its fascinating Gann (x4) relationship between the 0% & 100% lines, blown out of the water? (See 28-6-05 below)
Now, sometimes a small amount of shares are traded in a 15 minute (I think) window post-NY close. But yesterday we saw well over 10% of share volume traded after hours. A HUGE amount. The after hours close of $303.50 is under the $305 threshold. Was Google subject to a ‘paint job’ yesterday? Time will tell. There is more serious resistance just overhead with linear up-trend resistance currently @ around $320 so I held my position & raised my stops. I was aware of the danger, because the last two daily candles 'paint' a bullish picture and Google can gap up (in fact the chart is shot thru with holes aching to be filled). We will see L8R today. 18-7-5
17-7-5 187 is an important level IMO. We should get a bounce from there.
14-7-5 More FTSE, Silver... ... hit the cerise circle this morning as predicted. Now we must decide - will the new up-trend hold, or is there a nasty HnS top brewing along the 3rd GR field line (potential neckline) in the chart below? Google BTW is backtesting the neckline of a slanted HnS top IMO. 13-7-5
Big Brother is comin' atcha bigtime ...and you thought it was just about morons shagging each other in public... Yuk! 12-7-5
11-7-5 More Charts take a back seat today as events unfold. 8-7-5 7-7-5 London hit by a series of Explosions Tuesday's charts... Today Be careful with Silver here - we could simply be back-testing the breakdown of the triangle. 5-7-5 Silver's slightly premature but entirely expected breakdown from its triangle is big bad news. PMs look vulnerable to a wave 5 collapse here. Palladium's downside target is 60-ish so that gives you a feel for the scale of devastation I think we could see here. I am hoping it is bad enough to launch Wave THREE from. I think the PMs will bottom before the SM - long, long before actually. Charts are being worked on. 4th of July 3-7-5 1-7-5
This year July 4th falls on a Monday - a day when major PM moves are often triggered - often to the downside - when NY is closed. Silver gave you another 'buying opportunity' yesterday, and again this morning. It really is taking us to the wire, probing that LT support rail to the max. Looking like a set-up - or down - how to play the next move? Well, one could go long & short at the same time with stops - but volatility could trigger these before the run. I have chosen to go long but with a much larger cheaply-bought (when silver was $7.50) put option @ $6.50 to protect against a crash. I do not expect this, quite the reverse short term, but I can sleep better in the knowledge that any downside exposure is contained. In fact, extreme volatility will play into my hands, and given the narrow Bollinger bandwidth, this is all but assured. I missed my sell order for Google (to double my short position) by 50 cents. I reset it $1 lower for today. Took profits on Cairn Energy short yesterday in case we have a double bottom on the intraday chart. Looking to re-enter perhaps Monday... 30-6-5 Google lost best part of $10 yesterday. To be watched. A collapse will not come itsel'
29-6-5 Google was up all yesterday until it sold off 200 points into the close. Interesting times for Google and the new economy. Meanwhile silver looks close to a move & a half... 28-6-5 Bombs away.,..
Finally... Today is Options expiration day. The mechanical methods used to squeeze volatility out of the PM markets may be allowed some leeway once the maximum number of 'investors' (ie gamblers in this rigged casino called the free market) have seen their calls & puts expire out of the money. If there is a consensus, it is that next month is going to be tough for PMs. Recommended reading- Falcor III's post @ Gold Eagle Forum over the weekend. It all comes down to - is the $ in A or C of its retracement move? Check out the Irregularities article (scroll down) to read about the C dollar scenario. I have a stick of dynamite I plan to light under Google shortly. Stay tuned... Weekend A little light weekend reading 24-6-5 Think your home is your castle? Think again... High court OKs personal property seizures More... ...will be uploaded during today. Quite frankly silver has not been worth charting these past cupla daze - clamped in a program trading vice. Best guess? 10c pop into da weekend before they take it down to $7 for options expiration on Tuesday. If a chart pattern emerges I will try to be on it.
And not just because he's a mate.... 23-6-5 The nights are drawing in and the moon is waning going into options expiration next Tuesday. 22-6-5 'Apogee,
perigee,
*G Wines 'The Moon Illusion' 21-6-5 I thought 7.20 would hold being the MM and x2 channel but no - we are lower still today. Watch out if we get into the 6'es. $5.50 or lower could come upon us in very short order. More radical charts L8R. How much L8R? You'll just have to keep looking if U want to find out.... 20-6-5 Gold broke out on Friday. Other charts have wave counts that support a major turn, but the PM indices have not put in a satisfactory final leg down yet. So - contradictions.
17-6-5
16-6-5
15-6-5 Yesterday I wrote 'This morning I realised there may be even more irregularities in the charts than I thought even yesterday. We are indeed in Wave 4 of C despite 'apparent' EW violations yesterday.' In fact the more I delve the more interesting it gets. I need more hours in the day and more days in the week! There is a model that suggests the currently accepted wave count is totally wrong! But it needs further investigation. Meanwhile look @ the flat lines in the silver chart below and tell me that has anything to do with the emotion of the market...
14-6-5 Monday the 13th Weekend on da Water Sun is shining - but dark clouds loom The surprising lack of silver's response to Friday's anticipated PM rally is a concern. Critical support rises to about $7 next week. A confirmed break below would be very bearish IMO. 10-6-5 Pls note - the 2nd identical XAU bear flag (2nd Chart down in NEMEW) may be backtested @ a slightly higher level than the breakdown (not shown on the chart as it occurred after drafting) giving us a higher c after all as per Chart 3's wavecount... ... as...
9-6-5 As promised... Given my upside projection for the dollar I am beginning to wonder if this is not a Honest - I will upload L8R today - been out a lot... 8-6-5 Music (and a Pub Lunch) calls - I will upload more XAU & NEM charts L8R. Don't take any ST silver predictions too seriously with a chart as weird as this...
Nu chart 7-6-5 Silver stalled yesterday. However the tick chart just gets more unusual. Today's picture could be of a quintuple top. (How many of them do you see?). We could break up then down as follows...
The NEM chart is a few weeks old, but XAU is fresh meat... 6-6-5 This chart Silver has been flip-flopping all morning...
5-6-5
27-5-5 OK You can read it now.... 26-5-5 A break below 6.82 would IMO be ultra bearish. If the current count holds against all the odds (much as Liverpool did last night) here's what I see coming...
5 squared - 5 -5 5 times European Cup Winners!!!
High Fives to Liverpool. They get to keep the silver!!!!! 24-5-5 A break of blue and the jig is up, however...
23-5-5
Weekend There's something in the air. Secret UK troops plan for Afghan crisis ...Mike Rivero points out there is a large border with Iran. 'How to keep a bubble blowing for a wee bit longer before the Central Banksters pull the plug and asset-strip the Middle Classes...' Brown unveils cheap mortgage plan ...absolutely unbef***inglieveable! 20-5-5 Yeah. abc down. b up today. Comin' at you L8R - the DIRT BROS... WHY?????? CD Club mix. 2 silver ounces. Out on Dissential in time for summer. 19-5-5 Not confident here...
18-5-5 Will alert you when I think this mini PM rally is looking like ending. 17-5-5 The dollar is way above it's m.a. so we should see a nice little rally. 16-5-5 Further falls in PMs on Friday by definition mean we are nearer the next bottom. 'Are we there yet?' HL in depth....
...and a clean break below green could trigger a lot of sell stops. A time for caution? Friday the 13th UPDATE Signs of a turn? Will Wave 4 save the silver triangle? We do not seem to have broken the MM level in silver yet... Previously
Gold broke its 1 year HnS neckline yesterday. Only silver has refused to break it's LT up-trend. But that may be about to change...
Recent share action has confirmed IMO that we are still in wave 3 down in the PM complex - and that the metals are lagging. I expected one more pop in silver before the fall, but have to say looks like it won't happen. Of course much is faked to fool the speculator. 12.5.5 Has a potential HnS with a MM to 6.80. However... This morning I picked up an email which drew attention to a story that the COT position (bullish) was a deception - that some commercials had been re-classified as long spec. The correspondent also noted that any information in the public domain is worthless. I appreciated the irony. Note how HnS stop-losses were tripped as the 'HnS' pattern below reached symmetry...
11.5.5 The big story yesterday concerned hedge fund losses. Derivatives melt-down etc. Google for it. DOW got hit for a ton. However, there is a short-term +ve divergence in the MACD for April, so a short counter rally may ensue. Short answer is - I don't know what's going to happen today. 10.5.5
9.5.5
Weekending 6.5.5 BLIAR Soldiers on. HOWARD resigns. All is well in la la land. ...may have completed 5 of 1 of 5 of 2 of C of TWO yesterday. Or it may not. (Heh) 5.5.5 UK GENERAL ERECTION Will we get an inverse post-election rally (see below) ...could complete wave 1 of 5 today or tomorrow (I know, I've said this before but this time the up-move is genuinely impulsive). Next week I expect wave 2 to retrace much of this week's up-move to re-test circle support (3.5.5). FTSE 250 in a critical state...
4.5.5 Election Eve Smoke & Mirrors Special On Radio Five Live this morning we heard an American Special Agent say he was sent by the CIA on a secret mission to bring home Osama Bin Laden's head in a box a day or so after 911. Not alive for questioning. Do you believe him? 3.5.5
2.5.5
28.4.5 PM stocks fell hard - especially NEM yesterday. Silver did what it was supposed to do. Music calls - back L8R. Remember - if we hit 6.91 my count falls apart. 27.4.5 Silver has been range-bound since last Friday - in 2 of 3 of 3 of 5 of C of TWO. My GR chart shows support IRO $7.
HUI could be in 5 of 3 of C of TWO. If so I expect a turn @ 173. HUI could also be in C up (believe it or not) of 2 of C of TWO as it commences the last leg of an irregular ABC up. If the former, I expect Big C to be a 5-wave move. If the latter a 3-wave with a large C to finish. IMO this correction will end with a spike down & up as TA confirms the bottom is in. There are many traders looking for this bottom - and they are aware of the upside once it is in - and will not want to miss out on the ride. 26.4.5 Look - nothing is happening today - right? What do you want, blood? 25.4.5
Weird or Wired Weekend 22.4.5
21.4.5 Sorry no update yesterday - I had my ears full @ the studio. In any case, all I could have said would have been 'I told you so' - and nobody likes a braggart. Please visit www.dissential.com for a snippet of 4*'s rapping. Feedback appreciated. Hope to have a flavour of Lotoya up in a few weeks, plus some video footage.
19.4.5 My wave count has been (for the moment) saved absolutely in the nick of time by the PM complex turning up yesterday. Note the spike to 6.89. One cent lower would have been a technical violation...
18.4.5 15.4.5
14.4.5 My wave count is being sorely tested this morning. IMO the PM charts apart from silver look ugly. If silver capitulates and prints below 7.09 here be wary - technically my wave count would be violated. I can't be around to watch the action for most of today - it's a music biz thang... 13.4.5 Today Sony/BMG publishing are playing tracks from the RIOTAKT promo at their main A&R meeting. Yr correspondent remains cool. ...is pretty much going to plan - so far - despite 7.35 not being hit the wave count still looks good. Midweek we should switch from 4 of 3 of 5 to 5/3/5 taking us up to the mid 7-s. 12.4.5 Silver may have topped out a bit lower than its MM. If the up-move expected for the beginning of the week is over, we should see a drop now to around 7.05. Stick around, because silver is getting interesting again.
11.4.5 A few promo CDs of RIOTAKT have been mailed. One went to BMG/Sony publishing. We have a plan... As we can see - the GR support for silver (see 8.4.5 chart) held and up we go.... Silver Prophecy Early this week we will top out around $7.35. Then we fall back to the $7.10 region. End of week we hit $7.55 for a ST triple top, then back to $7.30 before launching a rise to $8 - my end-of-month target. A quad top BO. By now the $ is around 82.5 and the PM bulls are jumping for joy. Then we crash. Actually the above is not a prophecy at all - just one of my models. Even though it is my favourite reading of the charts right now it is so specific and has so many turns & twists I give it no more than a 5% chance of happening - for now. If, however, targets are met and the sequence develops, that % could rise dramatically. (Let's say each target has a 50% chance - 5 consecutive targets produce a cumulative probability of 3.125%) 8.4.5
7.4.5
6.4.5
5.4.5 Despite yesterday's bashing of the PM shares and gold, silver held on to my Elliot Wave count. This run can't last, surely? Today I am posting some more research work in the hope that John Murphy reads it. 4.4.5
The DOLLAH chart looks like it might jump up a point here.
TQ argues the bull case... A Nice Weekend in the UK Well I exited silver @ S? and bought it back @ 4? - Maybe I am getting the hang of this trading game... (see Friday's chart) FWIW many BIG charts have pivotal PTOs around the time of this possible forthcoming...
|
||||||
|
© ContrarianthinkeR 2002-2003 all rights reserved. Caveat Emptor - Buyer Beware! Any information posted on ContrarianthinkeR is not intended as direct advice. Do your own research before devising an investment strategy. I did. Webmaster RODIN |
